Gartner Analyst: Open source will quietly take over

From ZDNet UK: http://news.zdnet.co.uk/software/0,1000000121,39379900,00.htm

Here are some quotes from the article:

“By 2012, more than 90 percent of enterprises will use open source in direct or embedded forms,” predicts a Gartner report, The State of Open Source 2008, which sees a “stealth” impact for the technology in embedded form: “Users who reject open source for technical, legal or business reasons might find themselves unintentionally using open source despite their opposition.”

“Gartner has woefully underestimated the penetration of open source,” said Mark Taylor, president of promotion group the Open Source Consortium. “Everyone uses [open source] on a daily basis in services like Google.”

“Open source has been promoted since 1998. If it fades from view now, because it is embedded in the mainstream, that is exactly what we wanted.”

“Licensing is only a slice of the total cost, but historically, companies have only bought as many licences as they can afford. If you remove the licence cost, you may only remove three percent of the of total cost of the existing project, but you also remove the brakes — you massively expand the numbers that project can be rolled out to at no extra cost.”

2 Comments

Filed under Sakai, Technology

2 responses to “Gartner Analyst: Open source will quietly take over

  1. I have no doubt that open source is a great business decision, from a consumer perspective (freedom, cost, and all that malarky); however, what of we lowly developers and entrepenuers?

    What business models work for FOSS developers? Time is money, but that equation is shattered when you factor in large numbers of people looking to get something for nothing from a consumer side.

    Do you see the Red Hat-like model of charging for support continuing to be prominent? Or perhaps the Drupal and WordPress model of providing free software, but a small cottage industry developing around customization, support, and training?

    If a programmer were to choose, how could one justify, essentially, working for free? The business models like Red Hat and WordPress are great right now; however, there’s always some young soul down the block willing to do something for free that you *thought* from which you would be able to earn some revenue.

    What say you, sir?

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